If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials. NOAA Weather Radio 36HR VT 07/1200Z 16.6N 84.5W 35 KTOVER WATER Reports from Honduras and Nicaraguaclaim rain totals of up to 20 inches in some locations with some flooding and wind damage from the initial impact when Ida was a minimal hurricane. 24HR VT 09/0000Z 23.0N 86.5W 70 KT River Observations (Map), Climate/Past Weather MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A GENERAL NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN AT A FASTER RATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL new youtube channel - we've just launched a new experimental youtube channel. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS CHANGED LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE AND Current data typically are recorded at 15- to 60-minute intervals. NORTHEAST QUADRANTS. Tropical Cyclone Model & Best Track Archive Powered by Esri There are currently no active tropical systems in the North Atlantic, Eastern North Pacific and Central North Pacific basins. INITIAL 10/0300Z 29.3N 88.6W 55 KT As storms strike, this interactive map is your guide to impacts and damage reports coming into National Weather Service stations nationwide. This is generally within 36 hours. Ahead of the tropical development,dangerous heat levels will continuewith the potential forscattered thunderstorms across the Southeast and Gulf Coast over the next few days, a few of which could lead to isolated instances of flash flooding, according tothe National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center in College Park, Maryland. Nationwide Radar, Satellite 24HR VT 08/0000Z 18.4N 84.8W 35 KT B. OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. K. 7 C / NA Current and Past Streamflow SUITBUT DOES NOT SHOW AS SHARP A SOUTHEASTWARD TURN AS SOME OF Also, it encountered strong wind shear. WESTERLY SHEAR THAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 50 OR 60 KT BY DAY I also think that if the front can keep its legs, it will come and pick it up and take the remnant something north of east and I think that a lot of the models are picking up on that same line of thinking. This includes experimental path data based on weather models. Questions? TURN IDA EASTWARD THEN SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE NHC FORECAST FOLLOWS LIKELY BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 As severe weather or blizzards threaten, this database scrapes power outage information from more than 1,000 companies nationwide. INCREASINGLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPING OVER THE Current UTC Time Fisheries, Space Photographer Captures Sheer Joy Of Starship Launch, Meet The Iconic Garbage-Eating Mr. Trash Wheel. For official path information, as well as land hazards and other data: To view spaghetti models for all active hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons, visit the main spaghetti models page. 12HR VT 09/1200Z 25.8N 87.5W 85 KT Future radar data is available from now to ~2.5 days in the future. However, later model runs have taken the storm farther north, then north northeast toward the Florida Panhandle. TROPICAL STORM IDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 For the latest map tracker on Ian, click here. Upper Air Soundings, Forecasts WHERE THE LOW GOES NEXT. Future radar data is available from now to ~2.5 days in the future. That is pretty pedestrian and is indicative of just how far and how fast Ida is expected to fall apart. Here's the latest forecast track, including the. QUICKLY TURN IT TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE ABSORBING COLD FRONT (Error Code: 100013) Hurricane Ian. All NOAA, Current Hazards U.S. TO HISPANIOLA. ALTHOUGH WATERS ARE WARM OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEANVERTICAL Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane. TwisterData Tropical Storm Ida Forecast Track (click for most recent). But, there are many variables, not the least of whichis getting Ida out of Central America in tact and then have it be in an environment to redevelop. HOURS. The overall track, intensity and final landfall remain uncertain, but it's looking likely that it will be a hurricane. FSU Skywarn The Air Quality Index (AQI) translates air quality data into numbers and colors that help people understand when to take action to protect their health. These storms are referred to as potential tropical cyclones by the NWS. MISSION AROUND AND NORTH OF THE HURRICANE THIS AFTERNOON AND THAT Ida appears as if it will more or less thread the needle through the Yucatan channel thus keeping its center of circulation over water between the Island of Youth in Cuba and Cozumelnear the top of the Yucatan Peninsula. HONDURAS. GEFS Experimental Tracks and Probabilities, Southeast US Coast The storm systemis forecast to make landfall in the Gulf Coast as a powerful hurricane and coastal Mississippians could see a lot of rain and gusty winds this weekend. Tropical Storm Ida Satellite Loop (click for most recent), Tropical Storm Ida Water Vapor Loop (click for most recent). WTNT41 KNHC 080246 Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. I would think a plausible scenario would be for the storm to move into the big bend of Florida and exit into the Atlantic somewhere between Daytona and Savannah. I would think that Hurricane Ida does not have much more time to get stronger. 24HR VT 11/0000Z 31.5N 86.5W 30 KTEXTRATROPICAL (see discussion below), Total Precipitable Water Loop (click image for most recent). Cone of uncertainty: See the latest graphic from the NHC, Satellite images: See latest satellite image from NOAA, for a clearer picture of the storm's size. All rights reserved. IDA IS FORECAST TO ANOTHER AIR VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112009 THE 12Z RUNS OF But, what leaves me a bit befuddled is that, if it is involved with the trof sufficiently to transform it to a extra-tropical storm, I would think that the trof would have enough influence to pick it up. All in all, this will bea storm that will bring a minimal storm surge with some gusty winds. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. A hurricane watchers guide to the latest track and model forecasts during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season. THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO A LARGE As it came through the Yucatan Channel, Cozumel Radar showed very distinctive banning and adecen, though not perfect,circulation structure. The National Hurricane Center went along with the consensus modeling but I figured the models would eventually come around, and they have. Bufkit Data AT 60 KT FOR THIS ADVISORYWHICH IS SUPPORTED BY DVORAK ESTIMATES Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources NOAA National Hurricane Center International Meteorology Database O. 96HR VT 13/0000ZDISSIPATED, Ida IR Rainbow Satellite Loop (click image for most recent), See latest on Cat 2 Hurricane Ida in Gulf with Cancun Radar image, sea surface temperature, satellite image, forecast track CLICK HERE, Ida Forecast Track (click image for most recent), Tropical Storm Ida is behaving itself though it looks to be in pretty good shape. AFTER IDA Take control of your data. If you look at the Total Precipitable Water loop to the left, two things stand out. 24HR VT 07/0000Z 15.4N 84.2W 25 KTINLAND TCDAT1 GUIDANCE AND SHOW A TRACK NEAR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. HOUR WINDOW TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE. Multiple locations were found. Hurricane Ida has been tabbed as a 90 kt hurricane with gusts to 110 ktsbased on the latest recon data butwill be hard pressed to maintain its hurricane status at landfall. THROUGH 48 HOURS ON A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTIONAND IDA IS FORECAST TO TRAVERSE COOLER WATERSAND MOVE INTO A The NHC discussion below addresses the intensity issues. Forecast Maps and Models Hurricane Season 2023 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. I would think that the storm would get swept northeast. STRONG. E. 355 deg 4 nm However, after just a few hours offshore, substantial convection began exploding in all sectors. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! National Weather Service offices in Texas and Louisiana have advised residents to. However, a later recon mission revealedthe pressure had risen to 980 mb, there was an 8 mile circular eye that was open to the east. Converting UTC (ZULU) Time. Climate Prediction SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO HAMPER MUCH INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT FEW F. 099 deg 103 kt THE GFDL AND Collection of USA Today Network stories, photos and videos. For the past two days, I have been suggesting that the more conventional solution should be considered rather than the forecast track established by many models which called for the storm to loop back out to sea. In any event, its an interesting academic discussion. In fact, if you look at the Tropical Storm Ida Water Vapor Loop to the left, it really looks like it doesnt have much in the way of tropical characteristics. Take control of your data. Will This Save Coffee From Climate Change? Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. 36HR VT 10/1200Z 30.5N 87.1W 65 KTINLAND Email and SMS Weather Alert Services ( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley ). DATA SHOULD BE ASSIMILATED INTO THE 0000 UTC MODELS. OF 71 KT AND A SMFR SURFACE WIND OF 51 KT. NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 The graphics above show the barometric pressure field. TO NORTHWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. I have to be honest. 086 deg 25 min W DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY CONFINED TO NORTHWEST AND If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials. INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KT. HOWEVERIT IS BECOMING The 10PM EST advisory has Tropical Storm Ida with maximum winds of 65 mph. Hurricane Ida has behaved as expected for the most part. It quickly fell back to a tropical depression and, almost exactly as forecast, moved offshore of the northeast coast of Honduras on Friday evening. The center of circulation is close enough to the water that perhaps it will be able to maintain its integrity sufficiently to allow it to regenerate somewhat once its back over water. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT Stay tuned. INITIAL 09/0300Z 23.7N 86.7W 90 KT Experimental Long-Range Flood Risk OFFICIAL FORECAST. This is extremely complex. Former Hurricane Ida is moving along as expected so far and for the next day or so, there is a pretty fair consensus on what is going to happen. To view spaghetti models for all active hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons, visit the main spaghetti models page. River Forecasts (Map) Hurricane Central Hurricane Ida Tracker: Spaghetti Models, Cone, Satellite and More By weather.com meteorologists August 30, 2021 Hurricane Ida is tracking inland after a destructive. P. AF309 0411A IDA OB 29 Maximum heat index forecast for next 7 days. The discussion from the NHC (see below) is no help and provides no explanation. My Future Radar is also useful for tracking storms that may hit the mainland United States. Criteria for Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings Lowering For Our Mountains on 5/15. ABOUT 11 KT. THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IS ALREADY PRODUCING STRONG WINDS DURING THE IDA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD AT 360/6. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE CYCLONE Current Storm Information | Tropical Tidbits Global Tropical Cyclone and Disturbance Information Support Tropical Tidbits Information about this data Either public storm data sources are not updating, or there are currently no tropical cyclones or disturbances in any ocean basin. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher! Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO REACH IDA AROUND 0600 UTC. Much of the convection was on the north and east side of the storm, again indicative of a storm getting ripped up and perhaps transitioning to an extra-tropical cyclone. It may indeed become extra-tropical. Hurricane Ida Spaghetti Model (click image for most recent), 000 TCDAT1 Pragmatically, that is not so much of a big deal because extra-tropical storms can produce extremely strong winds and bring excessive rains. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the northern Gulf Coast and Hurricane Warningflagshavebeen hoistedfrom Pascagoula, MS to Indian Pass, FL which is near Applicachicola. The official Idaforecasttrackfrom the National Hurricane Center calls for it to trudge across Honduras for the better part of Friday before emerging late in the day just off the northeast coast of that country. Well you've come to the right place!! Blacksburg, VA1750 Forecast DriveBlacksburg, VA 24060540-553-8900Comments? EXCEPTION OF FORWARD SPEED DISPARITIESTHE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL In any event, in contrast to the most recent observations, the NAM, GFS and NOGAPS models have respective central pressure at landfall of 1004 mb, 1004 mb and 1009 mb. Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! BEING IMPACTED BY SOME SOUTHERLY SHEAR. These products consist of: Latest tropical cyclone forecast: generated automatically whenever a tropical cyclone is observed (reported via the Global Telecommunication System) at the initial time of the . AS THE CYCLONE APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IT WILL ALSO As mentioned previously, the satellite image if fairly impressive and there are strong winds aloft to the north of the storm. EAST AFTER LANDFALL. ECMWF provides a range of graphical products for tropical cyclone (tropical depressions, tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) forecasts. As long as the front behaves and gets into the Gulf by Tuesday, then the storm will begin to curve. Local Data and Records PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED For the latest version of our map tracker page, click here. Evacuate immediately if so ordered. NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. NOAA BUOY 42057LOCATED ABOUT 150 N MI EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS PUSHES SOUTHWARD OVER THE GULF. Climate Resources Page updated with new data on Wednesday, January 18, 2023 3:30 Z. Map has latest best track data for active storms. Flooding Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane. 24 hours ago, it was 979 mb and 105 mph winds. Warmer Water Changing The Behavior of Pirates, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. OF MEXICOA SCENARIO THAT DOES NOT SEEM PLAUSIBLE IN THE FACE OF For official path information, as well as land hazards and other data: View the ETA storm track page . GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. TCDAT1 Hurricane Central Hurricane Ian Tracker: Winds, Cone, Satellite And More By weather.com meteorologists September 30, 2022 Sorry, the video player failed to load. The official forecast then turns the storm southeast as the thinking is that it gets absorbed by the front and moves with the front to the southeast. FORECAST NOW SHOWS A SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD TURN AT 120 HOURS. BEING ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN 36-48 HOURS AND SO DOES THE Please be sure to visit these sites for tons of more tools on tracking the Tropics! It will automatically update every 15 minutes. The new GEFS increases the resolution of its members to ~25 km, expands to 31 members, and the 0Z run goes out to Day 35 (note: there is . Tropical Storm Ida became Hurricane Ida before making landfall and spent the day over Nicaragua. Citizens Weather Observing Program (CWOP) THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN LINE WITH THE GUIDANCE AND KEEPS THE Southeast Coast Buoy Data. BETWEEN JAMAICA AND HISPANIOLA AND A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER MEXICO ALTHOUGH THE GFDL AND HWRF MODELS ARE THE EASTERNMOST MODELS AND IDA HAS TURNED TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 340 MOTION INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT 4 DAYS. Evacuate immediately if so ordered. Blacksburg Radar The central pressure is 997 mb. Global Model Run Times NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. SO WILL LIKELY BE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES 17 C / 3054 m GULF COAST. Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. I wont be surprised to see it go higher than the current forecast of 70 kts. INTENSIFICATION OF IDA IN THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. PLEASE if you appreciate my website and the information I provide then consider a one time or recurring donation!! The NAM wants to take it into New Orleans on Monday night. 08/23:04:40Z Only two of the models though played out that scenario and the hurricane center went with the consensus of the modeling data. ONLY THE 1200 UTC ECMWF AND UKMET SHOW As it moves north, it will move into increasingly colder water. OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICOBUT THESE WINDS ARE NOT DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE CIRCULATION OF IDA. A. 1000 PM EST SAT NOV 07 2009. US Dept of Commerce Late Sundaynight, when I saw the Vortex message from the Hurricane Hunters, I noted that it was showing a rise in pressure and an open section of the eyewall and suggested that perhaps it was already beginning its demise even though the winds had increased to 105 mph. The biggest issue with this will be rain, especially for areas well east of the landfall point. 48HR VT 10/0000Z 27.7N 87.9W 60 KT 4. 900 PM CST MON NOV 09 2009. ida spaghetti model 00z 11.06.09. wtnt41 knhc 060241 tcdat1 tropical depression ida discussion number 7 nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009 1000 pm est thu nov 05 2009. surface observations and conventional satellite imagery indicate that ida has weakened to a tropical depression. Massive Pileup Shuts Down I-55 In Illinois, Multiple People Killed In Illinois Dust Storm Pileup, How The Omega Block Will Dominate Our Weather, A Wild Week Of Animals On The Go In Snow And More, New State Warns Pet Owners About Dog Flu Outbreak, 7 Facts To Keep Your Pup Safe From Dog Flu, FDA Says Dogs Are OK In Outdoor Dining Areas, Deputies Pull Father, Son From Florida Rip Current, NOAA Report Is Good News For U.S. My Future Radar is also useful for tracking storms that may hit the mainland United States. MEXICO AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN First is how subtle the circulation of Ida was as it developed off the coast. Future radar data is available from now to ~2.5 days in the future. It is expected to turn NNE overnight. REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. Long-range spaghetti models for Invest 99Lshow tracks ranging from Texas to the western Florida Panhandle. REGIONWHICH SHOULD CURTAIL SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION AS IDA That same shear, however, will then serve to mess up the storm and so the forecast calls for it to fall back to tropical storm status. See the official discussion below the Hurricane Ida Spaghetti Model image that you can click on for the most recent update. Observations Map Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT DURING THIS PERIOD My Future Radar is also useful for tracking storms that may hit the mainland United States. SLOWER TO OCCUR THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. ARE EXPECTED TO STEER IDA NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 72 After that, a cold front comes down into the Gulf. J. Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at, make a donation - totally optional but completely appreciated. Observations List Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! While it is falling apart and becoming a run-of-the-mill low, it will still be an area of low pressure and I think will act accordingly. Initial reports are the winds caused some damage but officials are concerned about the potential for up to 20 inches of rain to fall in Nicaragua and Honduras before Ida leaves town. The powerful storm made landfall as a near Category-5 storm in southwestern Florida. 2023 www.clarionledger.com. PREVIOUS FORECAST. Weather Headline Criteria Our Office Youtube, Safety and Education Location: 25 miles west-southwest of New. But, a little southerly shearing came into play and the late night advisory kept the storm at 60 kts. CENTER DURING THE AFTERNOON HAS WEAKENED AND SHEARED OFF TOWARD THE Please Contact Us. Map. IT APPEARS THAT THIS OCCURRED WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SQUALL AND MAY 36HR VT 11/1200Z 31.3N 84.8W 25 KTEXTRATROPICAL This site is AD FREE so I rely on donations to keep it running. Models are having a. This data is updated every 5 minutes. DEGREES AT 10 KT AS IT IS STEERED BETWEEN AN AMPLIFIED TROUGH OVER Fire data is updated hourly based upon input from incident intelligence sources, GPS data, infrared (IR) imagery from fixed wing and satellite platforms. Love Spaghetti Models? THE FORWARD SPEED OF IDA HAS SLOWED TO MAX FL WIND 108 KT NE QUAD 22:09:20Z In fact, there it may be likely that it will be considered extra-tropical. Donate. To view spaghetti models for all active hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons, visit the main spaghetti models page. Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. Evacuate if told to do so. Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. It seems more likely that an early morning landfall is in the cards, provided that it doesnt slow down too much and I just think with the shear increasing ahead of a trof coming across the Gulf ahead of a cold front will keep it moving along. Various models take this information and compute forecasts using different atmospheric formulas. ANOTHER AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. WAS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ONCE INLAND THE Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. MORE LIKELY THAT IDA WILL RETAIN ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect westward to New Orleans and eastward to Aucilla River, FL. 12HR VT 06/1200Z 14.4N 84.1W 25 KTINLAND CAUSED BY EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. CONSEQUENTLYTHE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST LEANS MORE TOWARD 96 HOURS ONCE IT MERGES WITH THE FRONTBUT THE SOLUTIONS VARY ON MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS IDA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY By late Sunday, the hurricane hunter aircraft noted a central pressure of 976 mb, which is fairly impressive. Donate. To view spaghetti models for all active hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons, visit the main spaghetti models page. IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS. Well you've come to the right place!! Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours. Drought Conditions, Current Conditions THE The shear had become so pronounced that early afternoon observations from the Hurricane Hunter indicated that the center at 700 mb was already shifting away from the center at the surface, indicating that the shear was really ripping up the integrity of the structure. Global Model Run Times 72HR VT 10/0000Z 25.5N 88.0W 45 KT AIRCRAFT DEPARTED THE HURRICANE JUST BEFORE 0000 UTC. 2023 Hurricane Preparedness Week April 30-May 6. 1000 PM EST FRI NOV 06 2009. 36HR VT 08/1200Z 19.7N 85.5W 40 KT FORECAST BEYOND 72 HOURS IS STILL COMPLEX AND IS DEPENDENT ON HOW Daily River/Lake Summary Office Newsletter The National Hurricane Center announced the formationTropical Storm Idalate Thursday afternoon, and the system is forecast to becomea hurricane by Friday when it passes western Cuba. Weather Extremes / Top 10s THE OTHER MODELS INDICATE A L. OPEN E The GFS likes Monday night around Mobile or Pensacola while the NOGAPS likes Mobile/Pensacola but is looking for a Tuesday night landfall. Please be sure to visit these sites for tons of more tools on tracking the Tropics! See latest satellite image from NOAA, for a clearer picture of the storm's size, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. In 2006, the ECMWF made improvements that resulted in accurate hurricane forecasting. For latest satellite, radar, forecast track, spaghetti model CLICK HERE, Cancun Radar of Hurricane Ida Passing Through Yucatan Channel. Ida was located about 100 miles SSW of Mobile and had slowed a bit with a northerly track of 13 mph. Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. 900 PM CST SUN NOV 08 2009. This includes experimental path data based on weather models. Even though Ida spent 48 hours over land, it is now stronger than it ever has been. SINCE THE AIR FORCE PLANE LEFT EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
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