Looking at those top 4 stats give me a very quick indication of what exactly is happening.But I do agree with you. While this seemed a bit out of the ordinary when first conceived, it makes plenty of sense when given proper thought. Like tempo, I average each team's efficency by game. What this all means is that if a high-school basketball team wants to use math to maximize their offensive efficiency, they should maximize their 3-pointers, free-throws, and close shots while minimizing mid-range jump shots, which, unfortunately, is a rather dull discovery, as these are the exact things taken into account when enforcing Moreyball at the professional level. The formula is OReb% = OReb / (OReb + Opponents DReb). 4) Fouls - Fouls are the enemy of good defense. Of course there are other ways to collect and calculate this information. Weve kept some pretty good teams under a .7 even, which is outstanding really.. However, I have one quibble. Always appreciate suggestions! When you look at turnovers, do you just look at the number committed and how it compares to the opponent, or do you take number of possessions into account? These numbers can be calculated on a game-by-game basis using the same process. For example, committing turnovers will lower your FG attempts (a top level stat) and conversely raise your opponents FG attempts. Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted, Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers, Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers, Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws, Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game, Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions, Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play, Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play. Great stuff! A player could have 3 turnovers, but a t the end of game have a +6. So as you can see, turnovers alone affect your FG attempts, rebounding, free throws, fouls, defense, and offense. A study done in Ohio three years ago found that the average cost of installing and running a shot clock is between $5,000 and $10,000. We had a group where the first and fourth quarter were were really good numbers, but for some reason in the second quarter we just werent as good efficiency-wise, so were trying to figure out, why is that? All 4 of those top stats directly affect the final score -- if I take one away (like FT%), I lose part of that snapshot and story. I hope you don''t mind, but I will definitely be stealing this idea. A good percentage will help you cut down your opponents fast break opportunities -- which allows your defense to get set and cut down on personal fouls. It's possible to get a more accurate possession count through play by play data. 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While a head basketball coach at the the interscholastic level, Sherman's teams won 197 games in nine seasons. If a given point on the graph (representing each major scoring variation) is higher on the y-axis than the line, then it is considered an above-average scoring method, and vise versa if found below the line. We have won numerous games over the years where the two teams shot basically the same percentage from the floor but the score wasn't close because of the number of turnovers we forced. Hustle and teamwork stats. Is this app easy enough to use during a fast paced game? As a Youth Basketball Coach, I was not hampered by having to allow each of my players to play an equal amount of minutes. They go 20 for 20, scoring 40 points. Thus, the app leaves it up to the user to decide if it should be counted as a turnover. There are four quarters. In the nine games against Cape opposition, Martha's Vineyard is 9-0 and is winning by an average of nearly 20 points per game. Have extra charts on hand in case the game goes to overtime!! If it's a negative number, that means we're not doing good. Maybe. I consider shooting percentage to have its primary value in teaching shot selection. The data has made it clear that high-school players are reluctant to attempt mid-range jump shots, and they fail to convert on them at the same rate as other shot variations. Scorebacks are a defensive concept. One stat your site talked about a while back had to do with team defense: points per possession for your opponent. Or you could do it the Apple way and just make it work for the most common use model. A mid-range jump shot is worth as many points as a layup, and yet layups are much easier to make. This year, that number is up to 21.3 percent. He personally loves all the strategy involved, believing the hidden parts of the game become more free-flowing, such as forcing guys to transition offensively and defensively better. According to our data, Minnesota is the highest-scoring high school basketball state in America. For example, if you're shooting 93% and your opponent is only shooting 14%, then you probably won't be getting more FG attempts than your opponent (due to fewer offensive rebounding opportunities). So as a result they buy into the importance of REBOUNDING, VALUING THE BALL, and so on.This structure has been very effective for me. Really help me with the project I am working on!!! Good point. But I didn't want to let the article get too long and wanted to pick what I thought were the top 10 or less. That's our goal every time we play a game. As an example, with our youth team we only track "made passes" and "rebounds". There are many different applications of this stat, but the one thing virtually every coach at every level can agree on is the Mendoza line. I agree. We are actually asking todoublethe time of an average possession in a high school game by 15 seconds, Ellis pointed out. This means a made three-pointer is worth one and a half times as much as a made two-pointer. Obviously with basketball the game moves much faster. 1. Add a 10-minute halftime break, and you got a total of 42 minutes. That is why the article lists the "4 most important stats" to be:- FGA- EFG% (which considers both 3pt and 2pt shots)- FTA- FT%I suppose I could reword the sentence you pointed out to say"To win you either need to shoot a higher EFG and FT percentage -- or take more shots than your opponent. But there has never been as organized of a plan to implement it as there is today with a group of coaches who have put together a grassroots effort. MaxPreps has found 112 instances in which a player has averaged 40 or more points in a season at . Evanstons gym packed for a game against New Trier in 2019. This article does not give good advice for youth coaches. The NCAAplays with a 30-second shot clock. You can even win if your shooting percentage is lower than your opponent (you know you're having one of those "off shooting nights"). For example, any time your opponent scores on three straight possessions the coach on chart duty alerts you and it triggers an automatic timeout. I would demote this stat out of your top group because of that. Who usually keeps the iPad/iPhone during the game? California, Massachusetts, Maryland, New York, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island and Washington are the other states. Below you'll see a screen shot of the Key Stats Report. Have you seen all the intricately-nuanced metrics the NBA tracks? Just an opinion from a novice : ) . Chicago is the mecca of basketball and we need to catch up with the times.. Of these three schools, Texas played at the fastest tempo, averaging 66.9 possessions per game . If anyone has a better way to convey these ideas or a better way to look at stats, we'd love to hear it. A player who shoots 4 for 10 on all two-point baskets has a standard FG% of 40% and an eFG% of 40%. As we've explained in other articles, you should look at rebounding percentages instead of totals -- because totals do NOT give a true indication of your rebounding performance. I will tell you some people are more comfortable with entering stats on an iPad than others. If you would like to be added to the motion offense mailing list subscribe here! Without having to account for pace, points per possession can tell you right away which lineup combinations are working, and which arent (or should be dashed altogether). The top nine states in terms of highest combined per game average all play without a shot clock. Possessions count the entire set of outcomes for a team's attempts to score in a given phase of play. Mar 4, 2021, 11:30am. Already have Assist and want to get more out of it? With all due respect, I think your stats are important at any level, starting with youth sports. A TO% so to speak. :). NBA possessions per game, by team. North Star State hoop darling Tyus Jones doesn't get credit for this one. I almost always find one relative that loves to keep the stats. which keeps everyone mentally in tune to what is happening on the court, and 3.) Overall I enjoyed your thoughts, and found them valuable. I have always thought rebounding % was more important then total rebounds for reasons you mentioned above. It didn't break my will; it made me stronger. The Miami Heat, a very dominant 3-point shooting team, made the 3-pointers they were given by the Bucks defense who failed to adjust, and thus, the Heat won the series in 5 games. So its safe to say that Moreyball is an effective way to manage a professional-level basketball team. At high school level, it's usually a student manager or player for one of the teams not playing. I think as a coach it gives you more control of what happens in a game, both offensively and defensively.. At the beginning of the season I will just ask they keep a handful of basic stats I want. Another defensive-minded first program with a distinct, patient offensive style, Loyola won 30 games and the Chicago Catholic League this past season. This would be a breath of fresh air for the game.. The NBAs shot clock is 24 seconds. You are going to employ more strategy into those possessions. During the 2013 NFL season, it was projected that each team will receive 12 possessions . I don't want the kids even seeing points because some never score yet. I think it is pointless to compare yours with your opponent's because you have no control over your opponent's shooting ability. So for me it's just a logical way to tell the story of the game and see precisely why we won or lost. Enter your email and we'll send you exclusive predictions and analysis. In a sense, it is very simple and that's part of the point we're trying to make Stats can be simple but they can also be complicated. Looking at this column, which lineup are you most likely to throw out there when you need some baskets late in the game? Marty -Thanks for the feedback! Its easy to measure. Use a separate chart for each quarter or half (NCAA men). You score, your defense gets a stop and you score again. That gives me a tool," says Orange City University High (Fla.) boys . Thanks for all your help. If you beat your opponent in ALL four stats, you will always win. And, because possessions are key, don't underestimate the importance of Turnovers. If you have 15 turnovers in an 80 possession game, it won't be as detrimental. If your team is good at running their offense they will be able to pass and catch all night and good shots will develop. Although with only 67 possessions where a free-throw was committed, a lack of sample size could be misleading. In addition, sometimes people accidentally get "off" when they are tracking stats. One person has iPad and other person is there calling out stats (spotter) just in case the person with iPad looks down and missing something. Of course you want to get there more often, for a variety of reasons. Removing redundant buttons and prompting for events based on the situation at the moment would reduce clutter and make the program easier to use. 5) Attempts in the Paint - This is a critical stat that affects offense, defense, and all areas of the game. Fortunately, I got into a lot of games b/c the Glasva O's were quite good. Each year you will see a game or two that is played at a glacially slow pace - 55 or fewer possessions - and a few that are run at a ridiculous speed - 90 possessions or more. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. Of all the coaches in D-I, Jim Boeheim has the biggest gripe about possessions-per-game being an inaccurate measurement of his offense's style. The Illinois High School Association follows the rules the NFHS adapts. FG% is only relevant if the two teams' FGAs are relatively equal.You mentioned you don't emphasize FT% much but I would go further. Then I look at the bottom 5 stats. A score-stop-score sequence is most desirable. If both teams shoot identical %s, the team with the most possessions will generally prevail. Some players do not do well with low minutes and other players have diminishing returns with high minutes. I'm a big believer in rebounding but turnovers and assists and understanding their underlying causes are really critical - are those points in the paint coming from assists? A study done in Ohio three years ago found that the average cost of installing and running a shot clock is between $5,000 and $10,000. But he believes the shot clock benefits the coach. Divide their points by their number of possessions. For now comparing to the opponent works for me and is a metric the players seem to understand. Adding a shot clock to that responsibility would be tough. Terms & Conditions | They've scored just 93.3 points per 100 possessions in the halfcourt, which ranks 22nd in the league, per CTG, just ahead of the lottery-bound Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets. There are only about 70 possessions for each team in the average college basketball game, so these numbers are higher that the points-per-game statistics you see used by the media. Using a possession chart for tracking in-game flow can offer basketball coaches valuable and instantaneous feedback. That comes to about 15 seconds per possession on average. But the Ramblers allowed just two teams to score 50 or more points all season in 34 games played. If fact, I'm going to add something to the beginning of the article to mention that. I would be thrilled with a shot clock. Only two players in NBA history have done it and they are both named Wilt Chamberlain. College Basketball Home NCAAB Home; Sports Betting. Biancalana, who has had high school head coaching stops in California and in Illinois at Stagg, Downers Grove North, York, DeKalb and now Glenbard East, loves the idea of a shot clock. A possession is ended by the opposition gaining . Mid-range shots are the second outlier, with an abysmal 0.516 PPP on 62 attempts/possessions. But I have found it works really well and there are minimal touches required to record a stat. In just a couple taps of the iPad or iPhone, you can instantly calculate all the stats. Effective Field Goal Percentage, or eFG%, is calculated the following way: (2pt FGM + 1.5*3pt FGM) / FGA. I immediately look at the difference to see how our team is doing. In general, all things considered equal, if both teams have the same number of possessions, the team shooting the highest percentage generally comes out on top. It is also important to note that defensive and offensive adjustments may be necessary depending on the matchup on the court, or the patterns developing in a given game. In this age of uber-analytics at every turn, it can be hard to separate the signal from the noise. So the opponent gets more rebounds (thus affecting DRB%). This is the average number of points scored per possession. 2005-2023 CBS Interactive. Most everyone, based on their success and the scores of games they play in, would initially believe Livatino would be steadfast in his dissent for the shot clock. I want to see the entire story in one simple and concise place. The argument for a shot clock is simple: faster pace, more possessions, better game flow and increased strategy, particularly in the final minutes of a game. Your email address will not be published. Livatino is one who says he doesnt see any negatives.. You might even discover one that isnt getting enough play, sparking new strategies. The Wildkits gym already has a shot clock installed. This leaves us with a chicken-or-the-egg dilemma: is the efficiency low because the sample size is low, or is the sample size low because the efficiency is low? Yes, I do think Points Per Possession is a very valuable stat!I actually do look at that stat and it is reported in the Breakthrough Stats App.Points Per Possession gives you a very accurate indication of the effectiveness of your defense and your offense. The thing to consider is schools like ours, Clemente coach Adam Hoover said. I think it's an interesting stat but I have not experimented with or used the stat myself. Id love the shot clock but not sure how we can make it work functionally.. A professional-level defensive example can be found in the Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat second-round match-up during the 2020 NBA playoffs. It was to me a microcosm of life then and now. That might depend on your style. Most will fall into the 60-80 range, though. Vital to success. The Rockets, a team that prioritized three-point shots on offense, missed 27 straight 3-pointers and failed to adjust their offensive strategy. A possession stat in basketball is counted when possession is transferred from one team to the other. I conducted research on high school varsity basketball teams and looked to find patterns in the efficiency of certain types of shots. We call them Raiders since that is our mascot. Offensive/Defensive Efficiency - This is the number of points scored or allowed per 100 possessions. The goal is a 40% scoreback rate meaning you get a stop after 60% or more of your baskets. Subscribe to our free monthly newsletter to receive three free eBooks with over 270 pages of content! Dennis,Just to clarify a bit further. The shot clock puts more coaching into the game, said Ellis, who has guided four teams to Peoria and brought home four state trophies. However we have quite a few people in other countries using the app and it works fine for them. But I do respect your choices and your program does look cool, and you obviously put a lot of time into it.
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