Paradise Square 13/2, BEST BOOK IK: A master class not to say that any of these other performances are shabby. These official odds for the Tonys are derived from the predictions of our Experts who write about theatre year-round, our in-house team of Editors, and all Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors. But there are ways around the backstops in place to prevent illegal voting on the online Tony portal, and you have to assume that some percentage will break the rules to weigh in on their favorites. "A Strange Loop" is daring and shocking and mostly fun, but not easy to sit through. Gold Derby editors and Experts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng debate the big category switch by Kieran Culkin (Succession), who is now competing for Best Drama Actor. Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz and Babaloo Mandel, Although everyone loves Hugh Jackman, there's not much excitement over his all-too-untroubled turn in, Conventional wisdom favors Mary-Louise Parker in this very tight category, but we think, admit to a certain amount of wishful thinking in that regard: O'Connell gave the single most memorable performance of the season, bar none. The 2022 Tony Award nominations have been unveiled and, per usual, we have opinions! "Lehman Trilogy" managed to seem simplistic while cleverly helping advance the story. Here are our predictions in each category. Funny Girl 11/1, BEST PLAY But reviewerswerent universally enthusiasticabout the show, so I wouldnt be fully surprised by an upset fromThe Minutes, which has the advantage of a twist ending that (forbetter or worse) has kept audiences talking, or the deftly constructed and actedSkeleton Crew. "Out of all the Tony categories this season, this could be the most complicated," notes Sam Eckmann about the race for the top Broadway honor of Best . IK:Starting off agreeing with Bill seems like a dangerous precedent, but "The Lehman Trilogy" has a great shot here. The race:Even ifA Strange Loop loses Best Musical in an upset, Michael R. Jackson is nearly certain to win in this category. Thats too many shows for too few slots. The race:This category is always a wild card, since so few voters know what they're listening for. Broadway came roaring back from its long winter of coronavirus closures with 34 musicals, plays, and revivals opening in the 2021-2022 season. She almost certainly willbut although as the voters love a big juicy Broadway star like LuPone, they also love groundbreakers like L Morgan Lee, the first openly trans performer to be nominated for a Tony. BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICALNeil Austin,CompanyTim Deiling,SixDonald Holder,Paradise SquareNatasha Katz,MJBradley King,Flying over SunsetJen Schriever,A Strange Loop. "The Minutes" really makes you think about our country, and its timing could not be more perfect. ), it still seems one of them is destined to win. Sure, there will be five performers on the list up for lead actress in a musical, but right now, the contest looks like its between Sharon D. Clarke, for her volcanic turn in the title role of Caroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango, who earned career-making raves even from the critics who gave her show, Paradise Square, a big thumbs-down. (Sorry, A wide range of strong offerings this year makes this category one of the year's hardest to predict. BC: True. ), David Cullen,CompanyTom Curran,Six: The MusicalSimon Hale,Girl From the North CountryJason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg,MJCharlie Rosen,A Strange Loop. Special Tony Award for Lifetime Achievement in the TheatreAngela Lansbury, Isabelle Stevenson Tony AwardRobert E. Wankel, Tony Honors for Excellence in the TheatreAsian American Performers Action Coalition (AAPAC)Broadway For AllEmily GrishmanFeinsteins/54 BelowUnited Scenic Artists, Local USA 829, IATSE, A complete list of the 2022 Tony Award nominations, The 75th annual Tony Awardswill return to Radio City Music Hall on June 12. The nominees will be announced May 9, on the Tony Award's official YouTubepage, at 6 a.m. PT/9 a.m. Bill Canacci: There is no question, Ilana, that this was a season to remember. Why:With her gender-swap casting and love of neon and big balloons, Elliott became nearly the third author of thisCompanyafter Sondheim and Furth. ", Carrie-Anne Ingrouille, "Six: The Musical". He has given Broadway something they have never seen before, and will inspire others. Joaquina Kalukango (Paradise Square) 15/2 4 min read. (Even if MJ misses best musical, the dance-heavy show is near certain to take the choreography award for Christopher Wheeldon.) Meanwhile, Mary-Louise Parker, who earned raves for How I Learned to Drive, will get a nod (along with her co-star David Morse), as will Phylicia Rashad (Skeleton Crew) and Sarah Jessica Parker (Plaza Suite), while Jesse Williams (Take Me Out), Sam Rockwell and Laurence Fishburne (both in American Buffalo) also seem to have real shots at hearing their names on Monday. In the acting categories for plays, its all best guesses and no certainties. They are Tracie Bennett ("Hangmen"), Blair Brown ("The Minutes"), Phylicia Rashad ("Skeleton Crew") and Johanna Day and Alyssa May Gold ("How I Learned to Drive"). The actors were brilliant, the staging was creative and at times cinematic one of the real treasures of this historicseason. With dynamite reviews and a Pulitzer Prize to its credit, A Strange Loopis the favorite, and it's also the kind of small,dark show that the Tonys have tended to reward in recent years. "The Music Man" is the definition of a good old-fashioned BROADWAY show, with over-the-top choreography, lush sets and a happy ending, while "Caroline, Or Change" was smaller, poignant and impactful. Camille A. In addition to the obvious frontrunner, which four shows will round out the new musical category? Thats true, too, of Six, in which each cast member gets equal time in the spotlight (and in which each of the six performers are eligible for lead actress in a musical). IK: I think "Dana H." has a shot here for its innovative encapsulation of sound. BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAYBeowulf Boritt,POTUSMichael Carnahan and Nicholas Hussong,Skeleton CrewEs Devlin,The Lehman TrilogyAnna Fleischle,HangmenScott Pask,American BuffaloAdam Rigg,The Skin of Our Teeth. The 75th Tony Awards, hosted by Ariana DeBose, follows at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on CBS and Paramount+. Below, see our 2022 Tony Awards predictions in 17 of the 25 categories. Why:The Lehman Trilogymanaged to get all three of its lead actors nominated at once, glutting the category, and it was a major ticket seller on Broadway last fall when not much else was, so its the front-runner here. Even though this production did not work for me, the late Stephen Sondheim deserves it. Ruth Negga (Macbeth) 11/2 (But shouldnt Christopher Wheeldon share the award with Michael himself? It tends to be lumped in with slate votes for the Best Musical winner, which givesA Strange Loop a leg up. It's not a done dealvoter support for Jackson'squeer Blackintravaganzais a bitsoftbut withMJ's King of Pop andSix's pop queens dividing the opposition,we still expectA Strange Loopto take the victory lap. Deidre OConnell (Dana H.) 11/2 Gold Derby is a part of Penske Media Corporation. I am not responsible for any amount of money you lose or win by placing bets. There's not a lot of strong competition here, so"A Strange Loop" runs away with this one. The race:The expert sound design inDana H.is pivotal to the entire productionbut it's also subtle. The race: Marianne Elliott has already won three Tonys since 2011. Last year, Jeremy O. Harris' "Slave Play" ended up winning not one of its 12 nominations, a record for any play in the history of Tony Awards. Ferguson's biggest competition comes from Chuck Cooper, whobroughtTrouble in Mindto asomber halt. This week, Tom and Shiv get it on. Yes, I do. Saturday Night, featuring the formidable talents of Tony winners Billy Crystal and Jason Robert Brown. Why:Sixhas a lot of tricky emotional shifts that depend on the lighting, which has to cue the audience to follow along as each queen brings it into a different genre of pop concert. ), BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICALStephen Brackett,A Strange LoopMarianne Elliott,CompanyConor McPherson,Girl from the North CountryLucy Moss and Jamie Armitage,SixChristopher Wheeldon,MJ. This email will be used to sign into all New York sites. Jeannette Bayardelle (Girl From the North Country) 21/2, BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) Clarke has the edge,in part because her role is much better written. Why:Makes big choices, feels like a pop concert! I love first previews, and am very grateful to have been in the house when the show resumed performances in November with Stephen Sondheim in attendance. Nevertheless, here I am with prognostications and preferences for the Tony Awards that will be given out on June 12. All rights reserved. But Uzo Aduba was incredible playing the beyond mean owner of a truck stop. With all that in mind, and based on a highly unscientific combination of polling, gossip and instinct, here are seven predictions for the nights biggest awards. Why:In this full lineupof Take Me Outstars (which seems to lack recognition for the best performance in the play, from Brandon Dirden! 2. But competition is fierce, with both How I Learned to Drive and Trouble in Mind also commanding respect as outstanding productions of shows getting long-overdue Broadway spotlights. Why:Whether you love or hate the balloons and big neon letters rolling around the stage, you remember them. You\'ll receive the next newsletter in your inbox. Simon Russell Beale (The Lehman Trilogy) 5/1 Paradise Square 6/1 COMPANY actor - Hugh Jackman supporting actor - Matt Doyle suppirting actress - Patti. Robert Hofler June 9, 2022 @ 7:05 AM. We reveal what we think were . IK:I can confirm that Bill hated "How I Learned to Drive," but sitting two seats away from him, I did not have the same experience. Why:Do I think Hugh Jackman is kind of miscast inThe Music Man? Why:My crackpot theory for both of these categories which requires voters to think and act in more strategic ways than they perhaps do is thatSix, with its recently released hit-filled cast recording, may get the award for its music, whereasA Strange Loopwill get the recognition for its densely intricate conceit. Still, I would give it to Spivey. Hangmen 11/2 This play is three hours long, and I was disappointed when it ended. This was an incredibly solid year for plays, and I wouldn't be disappointed with any of these taking home the award. Why:Sharon D Clarke was incredible inCaroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango is the one great thing inParadise Square, but Im keeping this fun/upsetting by goingagainstmy heart and acknowledging that Sutton Foster won the Drama League performance award and people adore her. More:'Skeleton Crew' a gift and a challenge for Broadway's Brandon J. Dirden. Mr. Saturday Night 6/1 How all that shifts voting trends, however, is tough to calculate. As an American actor in a show thats still currently running, Kalukango could have a slight edge. IK: Memorable, skillful work all around here, each performance breaking hearts in their own way. Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. Michael Oberholtzer (Take Me Out) 17/2 BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAYLileana Blain-Cruz,The Skin of Our TeethCamille A. But there's no award for ensembles at the Tonys, and barring the announcement of any special trophies, "A Strange Loop's" John-Andrew Morrison and Jason Veasey, the ensemble members who play the. ARTS Predicting the 2022 Tony Awards nominations By Frank DiLella New York City PUBLISHED 12:00 PM ET May 08, 2022 On Monday morning, the nominations for the 75th Annual Tony Awards. But even ifCompanys reviews werent much better thanThe Music Mans, it has the Sondheim nostalgia to nudge it ahead in the minds of voters. The Musical, for colored girls who have considered suicide / when the rainbow is enuf, a season in which they figured prominently. Following an 18-month shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Broadway came storming back. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in ourfamous forumswhere 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. (See also: The Band's Visit,Fun Home,Once.) The 2023 Tony Awards nominations . Parker won this same award just last year, which may work against her, butshe's a Broadway favorite in one of her signature roles, so she has a very good chanceas does LaChanze, who demonstrated suprising dramatic chops inTrouble in Mind. Next time we'll get you earmuffs. 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Movie,' the Actor Gives His Peachiest Performance in Years, COVER STORY | How a Sex Scandal, Big Egos and Putin Led to Jeff Shells Sudden, No Payout Exit From NBCU, Ryan Goslings Greta Gerwig Barbie Tee and Margot Robbies Pink Two Piece Embrace Barbiecore, The Brilliance of Harry Belafonte in 12 Songs, Bob Odenkirk Joins The Bear Season 2 (EXCLUSIVE), Is This 'Beau Is Afraid' Character a De-Aged Joaquin Phoenix? In a lead actress category packed with formidable competitors, LaChanze (Trouble in Mind) and Mary-Louise Parker (How I Learned to Drive) seem to have the lead, while the seven-strong category for lead actor including the entirely of the three-man cast of Lehman feels like it could go in any direction. for colored girls 5/1 The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. Only four eligible musical revivals opened this season which, according to Tony regulations, means the race in that category could well consist of only three shows (except in the event of a near-tie on the nominations ballots). The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. But Second Stage's excellent revival ofTake Me Outhas benefitted from a lot of free publicity in recent weeks, thanks to unauthorized photos of its baseball-playing characters' equipment. [POLL]. We should especially mention Morrison as the mother in "A Strange Loop. May 04, 2022 Broadway eagerly awaits the announcement of the 2022 Tony Award nominations. 2023 Emmy Predictions; TV Awards Calendar; . Another busy Broadway season has drawn to a close and Tony nominations are just days away. Clarke was getting a lot of buzz earlier in the season. Simon Hale, "Girl From The North Country", Jason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg, "MJ". Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play, Alfie Allen,HangmenChuck Cooper,Trouble in MindJesse Tyler Ferguson,Take Me OutRon Cephas Jones,ClydesMichael Oberholtzer,Take Me OutJesse Williams,Take Me Out. "Hangmen" won the 2016 Olivier Award for Best Play, but it was probably my least favorite of the group. BEST PLAYClydesby Lynn NottageHangmenby Martin McDonaghThe Lehman Trilogyby Stefano Massini and Ben PowerThe Minutesby Tracy LettsSkeleton Crewby Dominique Morisseau. Weadmit to a certain amount of wishful thinking in that regard: O'Connell gave the single most memorable performance of the season, bar none. How will nominators honor this seasons tight ensembles? Mr. Saturday Night 6/1 Matt Doyle for "Company." ", Jeannette Bayardelle, "Girl From The North Country". Sign up today! We think that Miller, who was pregnant when she performed infor colored girls, has a modest edge over the others, but Rachel Dratch is a dark horse for herhilarious turn as a zonked-out White House aide inPOTUS. Read Next: How the Blindspotting Team Addresses Race Through Dance, Tony Predictions: Best Play Revival Fewer Candidates But a Surprisingly Competitive Race, Tony Predictions: Best Play Tom Stoppard, Pulitzer and Olivier Winners Vie for Five Spots, Tony Predictions: Best Musical Revival Encores! While the theater community has always been a giving one, bringing attention to crucial causes, expanding accessibility and fighting for change has been at the forefront for many productions, and it's inspiring to see. BEST ACTOR IN A PLAYSimon Russell Beale,The Lehman TrilogyAdam Godley,The Lehman TrilogyAdrian Lester,The Lehman TrilogyDavid Morse,How I Learned to DriveSam Rockwell,American BuffaloRuben Santiago-Hudson,Lackawanna BluesDavid Threlfall,Hangmen. Below, see our 2022 Tony Awards predictions in all 26 categories. Dj vu! Flying Over Sunset, Beowulf Boritt and 59 ProductionsCompany, Bunny ChristieA Strange Loop, Arnulfo MaldonadoMJ, Derek McLane and Peter NigriniParadise Square, Allen Moyer. Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play, Uzo Aduba,ClydesRachel Dratch,POTUS: Or, Behind Every Great Dumbass Are Seven Women Trying to Keep Him AliveKenita R. Miller,for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufPhylicia Rashad,Skeleton CrewJulie White,POTUS: Or, Behind Every Great Dumbass Are Seven Women Trying to Keep Him AliveKara Young,Clydes. The Lehman Trilogy opens on Broadway, telling the story of money and power, Just 'Beat It': 'MJ The Musical' on Broadway is full of hits, Crowning achievement: Royalty rules in 'Six' on Broadway, 'Skeleton Crew' a gift and a challenge for Broadway's Brandon J. Dirden, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. "Flying Over Sunset," Music: Tom Kitt; Lyrics: Michael Korie, "Mr. Saturday Night," Music: Jason Robert Brown; Lyrics: Amanda Green, "Paradise Square," Music: Jason Howland; Lyrics: Nathan Tysen andMasi Asare, "Six: The Musical," Music and Lyrics: Toby Marlow andLucy Moss, "A Strange Loop," Music andLyrics: Michael R. Jackson. Sign up for our email to enjoy your city without spending a thing (as well as some options when youre feeling flush). Brown's reimagination of Ntozake Shange's 1976 choreopoem. Brown,for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufSam Mendes,The Lehman TrilogyNeil Pepe,American BuffaloLes Waters,Dana H. Why:Id love for Blain-Cruz to get recognition for this femme, maximalist treatment of Wilder, or for Brown to win for emphasizing the choreo in choreopoem, but the Tonys love a technically dazzling Brit, so Mendes it is. AndFrost has bite:Some voters may be put off by MJ's subject, or wonder whether its lead actor can do more than an uncanny impersonation, but there's no denying the sheer impressiveness of his performance. "Paradise Square" has some big numbers and a few strong performances but it also has some major flaws. The celebration will kick off at 7 p.m. Eastern on Paramount+, with exclusive content ahead of the awards ceremony. "Company," "MJ" and "A Strange Loop"? Who do you predict and why? BC: Going with "The Skin of Our Teeth." Girl From the North CountryMJMr. The race:Montana Levi Blanco's vast and witty array of time-spanning costumes is the favorite in this race, though Jane Greenwood'sPlaza Suitecostumes work harder than one of its stars. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete. There were triumphs. "Clyde's" and "Skeleton Crew" were both wonderful and had great casts. Flying Over. Hugh Jackman (The Music Man) 5/1 And Company director Marianne Elliott stands poised to win the director of a musical award for the shows audacious concept. BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICALBeowulf Boritt and 59 Productions,Flying Over SunsetBunny Christie,CompanyArnulfo Maldonado,A Strange LoopDerek McLane and Peter Nigrini,MJAllen Moyer,Paradise SquareThe race:Bunny Christie's shifting urban landscape in Company (for which she also designed the costumes) is the deserving favorite here, but there's a fair amount of sub rosa support out there for the Broadway-on-acid sets ofFlying Over Sunsetand thelavish showmanship ofMJ. Sutton Foster (The Music Man) 11/2 The race:Although everyone loves Hugh Jackman, there's not much excitement over his all-too-untroubled turn in The Music Man. We say "nearly" because he's absolutely certain to win for Best Book (see below), and if voters want to give something to the popularSix, this would be one way to do it. Ilana, why are you voting for "Diana"? Probably. Am I like that, Ilana? Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. But never rule out the potential for a suprise win by Broadway baby Sutton Foster. The theatrical event of the season is finally here! Roy Wood Jr. Talks Scandals at White House Correspondents Dinner, Watching Frank Oceans Coachella Set Online Wont Be Easy. David Buchanan joins me in a rousing slugfest to . All Rights Reserved. 2022 Tony Awards predictions: Who will win on June 12? In a season as crowded with star names as this one, there wont be enough acting nominations to go around. By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy and to receive email correspondence from us. I don't usually like to make. Gabby Beans makes a splash in her Broadway debut, Mary-Louise Parker is a marvel, Deirdre O'Connell tackles an experiment with skill, LaChanze is one of the greats of her generation. 2022 Tony Awards: Predicting the Likely Winners, from A Strange Loop to Six Let's hope Broadway's most racially diverse season will be capped by a ceremony that fully celebrates that sea change. Why AI Has Some Viewers Asking Which Film Actors Are Real. Broadway favorites Hugh Jackman and Sutton Foster, on the other hand, seem assured to score noms for The Music Man, even if some in the industry think neither actor is a terribly good fit for their respective roles. The award for Best Book of a Musical is in the bag, but there could be a horse race for Best Score. Spivey is the frontrunner, but he has missed a number of performances in the pastfew weeks, whichcould tip the scale against him. Lead actress, meanwhile, is one of the toughest categories to call. BC: I'll give this one to Michael R. Jackson. Privacy Policy and With Barry on the loose, all Gene, Fuches, Hank, and Sally can do is crumble as they wait to see who hes coming for first. Katrina Lenk (Company) 11/2 "Take Me Out" gets my vote. I'll also include some notes about each category as well. This password will be used to sign into all, a Vulture senior writer covering theater, film, and TV, Photo-Illustration: Vulture; Photos by Julieta Cervantes and Marc J. Franklin, Some 100 Percent Correct 2022 Tony Awards Predictions, Roy Wood Jr.s Best Jokes at the 2023 White House Correspondents Dinner, Julia Fox Is the Only Celeb Taking White House Correspondents Fashion Seriously, The 11 Best Movies and TV Shows to Watch This Weekend, The Rivalry Between the Knicks and the Heat From the Guys Who Were There, The Knicks Vs. Heat Rivalry From the Guys Who Were There, Long Live the White House Correspondents Dinner.
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